Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 14.370477 16.707232 19.247765 22.207810 25.554344 29.212844 33.507160
2025-08-31 9.825488 12.859714 16.496558 21.142454 26.881626 33.698557 42.363751
2025-09-07 7.795013 11.195490 15.590278 21.607514 29.541011 39.542990 52.989741
2025-09-14 6.430607 9.996852 14.907503 22.026870 31.921616 45.001718 63.375872
2025-09-21 5.211451 8.719610 13.839675 21.655862 33.039622 48.725293 71.611298
2025-09-28 4.232084 7.591490 12.769056 21.058320 33.655642 51.671321 78.856191
2025-10-05 3.924939 7.448937 13.122827 22.555361 37.374605 59.186128 92.957714
2025-10-12 3.602674 7.217355 13.284256 23.733629 40.665856 66.256548 106.824144
2025-10-19 3.175986 6.726271 12.942842 24.038745 42.581440 71.349736 118.020996
2025-10-26 2.793217 6.246948 12.548487 24.188170 44.218398 76.071734 128.878805
2025-11-02 2.404831 5.687209 11.931672 23.869862 45.021784 79.488637 137.853438
2025-11-09 2.040064 5.108216 11.197692 23.248317 45.226712 81.910050 145.330552
2025-11-16 1.695107 4.529254 10.428934 22.560764 45.403949 84.542556 153.747314
2025-11-23 1.367592 3.923221 9.524658 21.525139 44.894732 86.048212 160.536614
2025-11-30 1.221092 3.712204 9.404475 22.005147 47.205061 92.545344 176.118778
2025-12-07 1.090141 3.510074 9.270234 22.432492 49.437688 99.033148 192.043085
2025-12-14 0.924338 3.175431 8.783629 22.055787 50.059447 102.647342 203.126472
2025-12-21 0.771450 2.835755 8.226488 21.448716 50.147806 105.260021 212.540172
2025-12-28 0.750472 2.879616 8.606551 22.969663 54.694581 116.458941 238.062094
2026-01-04 0.713216 2.864828 8.836165 24.166593 58.651432 126.752744 262.418753
2026-01-11 0.639711 2.715202 8.694551 24.476521 60.746787 133.578127 280.668801
2026-01-18 0.568735 2.554676 8.497777 24.628299 62.504329 139.832823 298.141539
2026-01-25 0.490148 2.343914 8.126956 24.304976 63.179440 143.966116 311.760840